European, the American and the German model put Dannevirke's high today between 17° and 21°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 18°, with a 0% chance of rain.
Dannevirke swings 19°C across the year, from 22°C highs in February to 3°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1247 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
February
22°C average high
Coldest month
July
3°C average low
Wettest month
July
1247 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
5,640
share this forecast
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Dannevirke and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Dannevirke hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Dannevirke 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19°9°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18°11°
±4°
Mon
Cloudy
20°11°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
17°10°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
15°8°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
16°9°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15°9°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
17°9°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
19°8°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
20°9°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
14°9°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
15°9°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
15°6°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°5°
±5°
Dannevirke, New Zealand is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1247 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Dannevirke right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
21°
13°
Feb
22°
14°
Mar
19°
10°
Apr
17°
9°
May
14°
6°
Jun
11°
5°
Jul
10°
3°
Aug
12°
3°
Sep
13°
5°
Oct
15°
6°
Nov
16°
8°
Dec
19°
11°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Dannevirke's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C
Around Dannevirke, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
4 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
5 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−5%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.3°C
−4
+9
−2%
1996
−0.9°C
−22
+1
+4%
1997
−0.9°C
−12
+4
+6%
1998
+0.9°C
+30
+1
+4%
1999
+0.4°C
+12
−1
−10%
2000
+0.1°C
+7
−1
+2%
2001
+0.2°C
+1
+5
−6%
2002
−0.4°C
−18
−3
+15%
2003
−0.1°C
+3
−0
−0%
2004
−0.9°C
−12
+13
+10%
2005
+0.1°C
−9
+1
−4%
2006
−0.5°C
−7
+1
+11%
2007
±0.0°C
+9
−5
+4%
2008
+0.1°C
+10
−4
−2%
2009
−0.7°C
+3
+8
+4%
2010
−0.2°C
−12
−1
−2%
2011
−0.3°C
−8
+3
−2%
2012
−0.8°C
−15
+9
−2%
2013
+0.5°C
+14
−9
−4%
2014
−0.2°C
−1
−1
+6%
2015
−0.4°C
+9
+8
−0%
2016
+0.7°C
+26
−3
−0%
2017
±0.0°C
−11
−5
−6%
2018
+0.4°C
+5
−3
−6%
2019
+0.5°C
+18
−4
+2%
2020
+0.4°C
+10
−3
−0%
2021
+0.4°C
−3
−2
−4%
2022
+0.3°C
−8
−2
−8%
2023
±0.0°C
−24
+1
−0%
2024
+0.3°C
+3
−4
−4%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Dannevirke, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Dannevirke?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C
95±2.5 km/h
8290% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
77
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C
90±4.8 km/h
6581% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
77
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C
93±3.4 km/h
5877% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in New Zealand? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±5°17° to 21°
±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow
±4°16° to 20°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon
±3°19° to 22°
±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue
±3°16° to 18°
±33%65% to 98% chance
Wed
±3°14° to 17°
±12%19% to 31% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Dannevirke
today, local time
Sunrise
06:15
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 30m
Common questions
What's the weather in Dannevirke today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Dannevirke's high today between 17° and 21°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 18°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Dannevirke today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Dannevirke on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 0% (European 0%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Dannevirke?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Dannevirke (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the NZ accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Dannevirke?
February is typically the warmest month in Dannevirke, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Dannevirke get?
The coldest month in Dannevirke is July, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Dannevirke get?
Dannevirke sees roughly 1247 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Dannevirke getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Dannevirke, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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