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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAYarmouth
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Yarmouth weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 15° in Yarmouth today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 18°, with a 4% chance of rain.

15°11°
18°11°
19°12°
17°
21°16°
19°14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 71%
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 12°·Rain 40%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low 11°·Rain 34%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Yarmouth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 14°
±3°
Sat
Clear
19° 12°
models agree
Sun
Showers
20° 14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 14°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
20° 15°
±2°
Wed
Light rain
21° 16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19° 13°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
20° 12°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree

Yarmouth, Nova Scotia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -4°C), with roughly 1606 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Yarmouth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Yarmouth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
Feb
-4°
Mar
Apr
May
14°
Jun
17°
12°
Jul
21°
16°
Aug
20°
15°
Sep
19°
13°
Oct
15°
10°
Nov
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Yarmouth?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
79±1.2°C97±1.7 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
67
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C96±1.9 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
65
/100rank #3
72±1.5°C96±1.9 km/t3665% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°±37%34% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±3°17° to 20°±13%3% to 16% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±24%3% to 27% chance
Thu±2°20° to 22°±24%52% to 76% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Yarmouth

today, local time
Sunrise
06:53
Sunset
19:51
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Yarmouth today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Yarmouth today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Yarmouth today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Yarmouth and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Yarmouth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Yarmouth (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the American at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Yarmouth?
July is typically the warmest month in Yarmouth, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Yarmouth get?
The coldest month in Yarmouth is February, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Yarmouth get?
Yarmouth sees roughly 1606 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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