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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Eastern Charlotte weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Eastern Charlotte today. Tomorrow: clear, around 14°, with a 0% chance of rain.

11°-1°
14°1°
16°5°
8°1°
7°-2°
12°0°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
12°
Clear
Today 12°·Low 0°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low -1°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Partly cloudy
Today 11°·Low 0°·Rain 0%
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Eastern Charlotte weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Eastern Charlotte swings 31°C across the year, from 21°C highs in July to -10°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1306 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
21°C average high
Coldest month
February
-10°C average low
Wettest month
November
1306 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
7,325
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Eastern Charlotte and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Eastern Charlotte hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Eastern Charlotte 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
11° -1°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
14° 1°
±3°
Mon
Partly cloudy
16° 5°
±2°
Tue
Partly cloudy
8° 1°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
7° -2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
12° 0°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
15° 7°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
10° 3°
±3°
Sun
Mostly clear
11° 1°
±7°
Mon
Light drizzle
15° 5°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
14° 8°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
14° 4°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
8° 1°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
9° 0°
±6°

Eastern Charlotte, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -10°C), with roughly 1306 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Eastern Charlotte right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Eastern Charlotte climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-2°
-9°
Feb
-1°
-10°
Mar
3°
-4°
Apr
8°
1°
May
14°
6°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
21°
15°
Aug
21°
15°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
12°
6°
Nov
7°
1°
Dec
2°
-5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Eastern Charlotte's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.0°C

Around Eastern Charlotte, 2015-2024 averaged 1.0°C warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2012.

1995: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average1997: −1.4°C vs the 30-year average1998: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2003: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: −1.5°C vs the 30-year average2005: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2010: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2012: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2017: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2021: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2024: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

7 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +12 vs the 30-year average1996: +3 vs the 30-year average1997: +24 vs the 30-year average1998: −7 vs the 30-year average1999: −11 vs the 30-year average2000: −7 vs the 30-year average2001: +5 vs the 30-year average2002: +10 vs the 30-year average2003: +14 vs the 30-year average2004: +16 vs the 30-year average2005: +2 vs the 30-year average2006: −16 vs the 30-year average2007: +10 vs the 30-year average2008: +1 vs the 30-year average2009: −11 vs the 30-year average2010: −25 vs the 30-year average2011: −4 vs the 30-year average2012: −10 vs the 30-year average2013: +9 vs the 30-year average2014: −3 vs the 30-year average2015: −1 vs the 30-year average2016: +0 vs the 30-year average2017: +8 vs the 30-year average2018: +10 vs the 30-year average2019: +5 vs the 30-year average2020: +2 vs the 30-year average2021: −11 vs the 30-year average2022: −10 vs the 30-year average2023: −4 vs the 30-year average2024: −12 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1% vs the 30-year average1996: +1% vs the 30-year average1997: +1% vs the 30-year average1998: −1% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +4% vs the 30-year average2001: −6% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: −4% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: −1% vs the 30-year average2009: −1% vs the 30-year average2010: +1% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −4% vs the 30-year average2013: −1% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: +1% vs the 30-year average2016: +1% vs the 30-year average2017: +1% vs the 30-year average2018: +6% vs the 30-year average2019: +4% vs the 30-year average2020: +4% vs the 30-year average2021: −1% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: −4% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.7°C+12−1%
1996−1.1°C+3+1%
1997−1.4°C+24+1%
1998±0.0°C−7−1%
1999+0.7°C−11+4%
2000−0.3°C−7+4%
2001±0.0°C+5−6%
2002−0.5°C+10+1%
2003−1.1°C+14−4%
2004−1.5°C+16−1%
2005−0.4°C+2+1%
2006+0.7°C−16−1%
2007−0.8°C+10+1%
2008−0.1°C+1−1%
2009−0.5°C−11−1%
2010+1.0°C−25+1%
2011+0.4°C−4+1%
2012+1.1°C−10−4%
2013−0.1°C+9−1%
2014−0.2°C−3+1%
2015−0.6°C−1+1%
2016+0.4°C+0+1%
2017±0.0°C+8+1%
2018±0.0°C+10+6%
2019−0.6°C+5+4%
2020+0.6°C+2+4%
2021+1.0°C−11−1%
2022+0.9°C−10−1%
2023+1.0°C−4−6%
2024+1.0°C−12−4%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Eastern Charlotte, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Eastern Charlotte?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C90±4.9 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
88
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±2.0 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
88
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C93±3.3 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°11° to 12°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°12° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°15° to 17°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°7° to 8°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±2°7° to 8°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Eastern Charlotte

today, local time
Sunrise
07:55
Sunset
18:26
Daylight
10h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Eastern Charlotte today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Eastern Charlotte today. Tomorrow: clear, around 14°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Eastern Charlotte today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Eastern Charlotte on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Eastern Charlotte?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Eastern Charlotte (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Eastern Charlotte?
July is typically the warmest month in Eastern Charlotte, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Eastern Charlotte get?
The coldest month in Eastern Charlotte is February, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Eastern Charlotte get?
Eastern Charlotte sees roughly 1306 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
Is Eastern Charlotte getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Eastern Charlotte, 2015-2024 averaged 1.0°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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