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CheckWeather CA›Saint John East
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Saint John East weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Saint John East today. Tomorrow: clear, around 13°, with a 0% chance of rain.

11°0°
13°3°
15°6°
8°1°
7°-1°
11°1°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
12°
Clear
Today 12°·Low 0°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Cloudy
Today 11°·Low 1°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Cloudy
Today 11°·Low 0°·Rain 0%
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Saint John East weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Saint John East swings 33°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1348 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 8 days a year at 25°C or above, 133 frost nights, and rain on 138 days.

Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
November
1348 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
15,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
93/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
8 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
133 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
138 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Saint John East’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Saint John East and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Saint John East hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Saint John East 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
11° 0°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
13° 3°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15° 6°
±3°
Tue
Mostly clear
8° 1°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
7° -1°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 7°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
10° 2°
±3°
Sun
Clear
10° 0°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
13° 6°
models agree
Tue
Light rain
14° 8°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 6°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
8° 2°
±5°
Fri
Drizzle
8° 1°
±5°

Saint John East, New Brunswick is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1348 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Saint John East right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Saint John East climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-2°
-10°
Feb
-2°
-11°
Mar
3°
-5°
Apr
9°
0°
May
15°
5°
Jun
18°
11°
Jul
22°
14°
Aug
22°
15°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
13°
6°
Nov
7°
0°
Dec
1°
-7°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Saint John East has changed since 1995

Saint John East sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Saint John. That square ran 0.9°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Saint John page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Saint John East?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C96±1.8 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C93±3.3 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C95±2.7 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°11° to 12°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°14° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°7° to 9°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±2°6° to 8°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Saint John East

today, local time
Sunrise
07:52
Sunset
18:23
Daylight
10h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Saint John East today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Saint John East today. Tomorrow: clear, around 13°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Saint John East today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Saint John East on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Saint John East?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Saint John East (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Saint John East?
July is typically the warmest month in Saint John East, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Saint John East get?
The coldest month in Saint John East is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Saint John East get?
Saint John East sees roughly 1348 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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