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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Whitby weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Whitby today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain.

14°3°
15°6°
16°7°
10°3°
11°4°
18°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
3°
Clear
Feels 0° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Clear
Feels 2° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 87%
AmericanNOAA GFS
3°
Clear
Feels 0° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Whitby: Env. Canada (GEM model): 3° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 3° Clear.

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Whitby weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Whitby swings 34°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -9°C lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 946 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 50 days a year at 25°C or above, 3 of them at 30°C or above, 122 frost nights, and rain on 133 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-9°C average low
Wettest month
September
946 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
139,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
50 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
122 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
133 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Whitby’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Whitby and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Whitby hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Whitby 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15° 6°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
16° 7°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
10° 3°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11° 4°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
18° 8°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
15° 8°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
15° 8°
±4°
Sun
Showers
16° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 3°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 5°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
9° 3°
models agree

Whitby, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -9°C), with roughly 946 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Whitby right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Whitby climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-2°
-8°
Feb
-1°
-9°
Mar
4°
-4°
Apr
10°
2°
May
16°
7°
Jun
22°
14°
Jul
25°
16°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
14°
6°
Nov
7°
1°
Dec
1°
-4°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Whitby has changed since 1995

Whitby sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Oshawa. That square ran 1.2°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Oshawa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Whitby?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C96±2.2 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C95±2.7 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
81
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C94±2.9 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°15° to 17°±24%0% to 24% chance
Tue±1°9° to 10°±5%0% to 5% chance
Wed±3°10° to 13°±5%0% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Whitby

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
10h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Whitby today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Whitby today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 15°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Whitby today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Whitby on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Whitby?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Whitby (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Whitby?
July is typically the warmest month in Whitby, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Whitby get?
The coldest month in Whitby is February, when overnight lows average about -9°C.
How much rain does Whitby get?
Whitby sees roughly 946 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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