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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAAjax
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Ajax weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Ajax today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 0% chance of rain.

22°15°
23°14°
23°16°
24°18°
23°16°
21°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±5°Fridaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Mostly clear
Today 23°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low 15°·Rain 9%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 15°·Rain 1%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Ajax and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
22° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 14°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 18°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 16°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±4°
Sat
Showers
24° 15°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
24° 14°
±11°
Mon
Clear
18° 12°
±4°
Tue
Clear
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21° 13°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light rain
19° 14°
models agree

Ajax, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -5°C), with roughly 1026 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Ajax right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Ajax climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-5°
Mar
-2°
Apr
12°
May
18°
Jun
22°
15°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
24°
17°
Sep
22°
15°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-1°

Which forecast is most accurate in Ajax?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C96±2.0 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #2
71±1.6°C95±2.4 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C94±2.8 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±9%0% to 9% chance
Tomorrow±3°22° to 24°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°22° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±6°21° to 27°±21%59% to 80% chance
Thu±5°22° to 26°±13%14% to 27% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ajax

today, local time
Sunrise
06:45
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ajax today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Ajax today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ajax today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Ajax and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ajax?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ajax (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ajax?
July is typically the warmest month in Ajax, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Ajax get?
The coldest month in Ajax is February, when overnight lows average about -5°C.
How much rain does Ajax get?
Ajax sees roughly 1026 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather