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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CARouge
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Rouge weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Rouge's high today between 20° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 23°, with a 4% chance of rain.

21°15°
23°14°
22°16°
24°19°
23°17°
21°14°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 16°·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Cloudy
Today 20°·Low 15°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Rouge and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
21° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Clear
23° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
22° 16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 19°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 17°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Sat
Showers
24° 15°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
23° 15°
±10°
Mon
Clear
18° 13°
±4°
Tue
Clear
19° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 14°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 14°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19° 15°
models agree

Rouge is a small town of about 46,000 people in Ontario, sitting at 43.8°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Rouge with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Highland Creek, Centennial Scarborough, Morningside.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rouge?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±2.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
79
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C94±2.9 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C94±3.1 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°20° to 22°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 23°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±1°22° to 22°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±5°21° to 26°±3%58% to 61% chance
Thu±3°22° to 25°±8%14% to 22% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rouge

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:43
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rouge today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Rouge today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rouge today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Rouge and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rouge?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rouge (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather