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CheckWeather CAWasaga Beach
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Wasaga Beach weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Wasaga Beach's high today between 20° and 23°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 22°, with a 2% chance of rain.

21°13°
22°14°
23°14°
23°17°
22°16°
21°13°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°Fridaysplit ±9°
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Partly cloudy
Today 23°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Mostly clear
Today 21°·Low 15°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Clear
Today 20°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Wasaga Beach and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
21° 13°
±2°
Tomorrow
Clear
22° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Wed
Showers
23° 17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
22° 16°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±9°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
25° 15°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±10°
Mon
Clear
17° 12°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
18° 13°
models agree
Wed
Clear
18° 12°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
19° 12°
models agree

Wasaga Beach, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 1004 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Wasaga Beach right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Wasaga Beach climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-6°
Mar
-3°
Apr
12°
May
18°
Jun
22°
14°
Jul
25°
17°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
22°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-2°

Which forecast is most accurate in Wasaga Beach?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.3 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
85
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C95±2.7 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C93±3.3 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°20° to 23°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±2°23° to 24°±11%5% to 16% chance
Wed±1°22° to 24°±30%52% to 82% chance
Thu±6°19° to 26°±12%27% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wasaga Beach

today, local time
Sunrise
06:48
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
12h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wasaga Beach today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Wasaga Beach today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Wasaga Beach today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Wasaga Beach and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wasaga Beach?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wasaga Beach (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wasaga Beach?
July is typically the warmest month in Wasaga Beach, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Wasaga Beach get?
The coldest month in Wasaga Beach is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Wasaga Beach get?
Wasaga Beach sees roughly 1004 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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