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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAVaughan
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Vaughan weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Vaughan's high today between 21° and 25°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 24°, with a 6% chance of rain.

23°14°
24°13°
24°15°
24°18°
23°16°
22°12°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±6°
Env. CanadaGEM model
25°
Mostly clear
Today 25°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 15°·Rain 47%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 14°·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Vaughan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
23° 14°
±4°
Tomorrow
Clear
24° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
24° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 18°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 16°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±6°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
25° 14°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 13°
±13°
Mon
Clear
18° 11°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 11°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19° 14°
models agree

Vaughan, Ontario. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Vaughan right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Vaughan's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Vaughan weather by month

what to expect in Vaughan through the year

Here is Vaughan's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Vaughan by season.

Jan
-6°
Cold
Feb
-7°
Cold
Mar
-3°
Cold
Apr
13°
Cool
Wettest
May
20°
Mild
Jun
24°
14°
Warm
Jul
27°
16°
Warm
Aug
25°
15°
Warm
Sep
23°
13°
Warm
Oct
16°
Mild
Nov
Cool
Dec
-3°
Cold

What Vaughan's weather is like through the year

Vaughan runs from warm summers, with July highs near 27°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -7°C (a swing of about 34°C across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Vaughan sees roughly 1007 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December), so Vaughan sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Vaughan

The most comfortable time to visit Vaughan is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Vaughan?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C96±2.2 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±2.1 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
74
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C95±2.5 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Vaughan, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 78. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°21° to 25°±47%0% to 47% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±2°23° to 24°±4%4% to 8% chance
Wed±6°21° to 27°±9%58% to 67% chance
Thu±3°21° to 24°±8%11% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Vaughan

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Vaughan today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Vaughan today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Vaughan today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Vaughan and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Vaughan?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Vaughan (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Vaughan?
July is typically the warmest month in Vaughan, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Vaughan get?
The coldest month in Vaughan is February, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Vaughan get?
Vaughan sees roughly 1007 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Vaughan?
The most comfortable time to visit Vaughan is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Vaughan?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December) in Vaughan, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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