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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Richmond Hill weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Richmond Hill today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 0% chance of rain.

14°3°
17°4°
14°7°
9°2°
11°4°
19°7°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±2°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Clear
Today 15°·Low 2°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Clear
Today 14°·Low 5°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Today 14°·Low 2°·Rain 0%
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Richmond Hill weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Richmond Hill swings 35°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -10°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 853 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 66 days a year at 25°C or above, 11 of them at 30°C or above, 138 frost nights, and rain on 136 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-10°C average low
Wettest month
August
853 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
202,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
86/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
66 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
138 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
136 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Richmond Hill’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Richmond Hill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Richmond Hill hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Richmond Hill 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17° 4°
±2°
Mon
Partly cloudy
14° 7°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
9° 2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11° 4°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 7°
models agree
Fri
Clear
15° 6°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
15° 6°
±4°
Sun
Showers
16° 9°
±3°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
15° 7°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
10° 2°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
7° 0°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
10° 3°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree

Richmond Hill, Ontario. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Richmond Hill right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Richmond Hill's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Richmond Hill weather by month

what to expect in Richmond Hill through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Richmond Hill's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Richmond Hill by season.

Jan
-3°
-9°
Cold
Feb
0°
-10°
Cold
Mar
4°
-5°
Cold
Apr
11°
1°
Cool
May
18°
6°
Mild
Jun
23°
13°
Warm
Jul
25°
15°
Warm
Aug
24°
15°
Warm
Wettest
Sep
21°
11°
Mild
Oct
14°
5°
Cool
Nov
7°
0°
Cold
Dec
0°
-5°
Cold

What Richmond Hill's weather is like through the year

Richmond Hill runs from warm summers, with July highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -10°C (a swing of about 35°C across the year). August is usually the wettest month, and Richmond Hill sees roughly 853 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December), so Richmond Hill sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Richmond Hill

The most comfortable time to visit Richmond Hill is usually May, June, July and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.

How the weather around Richmond Hill has changed since 1995

Richmond Hill sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as North York. That square ran 1.0°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the North York page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Richmond Hill?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C93±3.3 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C96±1.9 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C97±1.3 km/h5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Richmond Hill, scoring 86/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tue±2°8° to 10°±5%0% to 5% chance
Wed±4°10° to 14°±3%2% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Richmond Hill

today, local time
Sunrise
07:43
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Richmond Hill today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Richmond Hill today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Richmond Hill today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Richmond Hill on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Richmond Hill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Richmond Hill (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Richmond Hill?
July is typically the warmest month in Richmond Hill, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Richmond Hill get?
The coldest month in Richmond Hill is February, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Richmond Hill get?
Richmond Hill sees roughly 853 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Richmond Hill?
The most comfortable time to visit Richmond Hill is usually May, June, July and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest August rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Richmond Hill?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 4 months (January, February, March and December) in Richmond Hill, so winter snowfall is common.

Nearby

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