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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CABlack Creek
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Black Creek weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Black Creek's high today between 21° and 24°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks clear around 24°, with a 6% chance of rain.

23°15°
24°14°
24°14°
24°18°
23°16°
22°12°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 15°·Rain 47%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 6%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Black Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
23° 15°
±4°
Tomorrow
Clear
24° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
24° 18°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 16°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±5°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
25° 14°
±7°
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 14°
±13°
Mon
Clear
19° 11°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 12°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19° 14°
models agree

Black Creek, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -7°C), with roughly 1026 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Black Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Black Creek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
Feb
-7°
Mar
-3°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
27°
16°
Aug
25°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-2°

Which forecast is most accurate in Black Creek?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±1.2 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C96±1.9 km/t5374% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C93±3.4 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°21° to 24°±47%0% to 47% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree24° to 24°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tue±2°23° to 25°±3%4% to 7% chance
Wed±6°21° to 27°±10%57% to 67% chance
Thu±3°22° to 24°±9%10% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Black Creek

today, local time
Sunrise
06:47
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Black Creek today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Black Creek today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Black Creek today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Black Creek and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Black Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Black Creek (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Black Creek?
July is typically the warmest month in Black Creek, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Black Creek get?
The coldest month in Black Creek is February, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Black Creek get?
Black Creek sees roughly 1026 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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