Tofino swings 16°C across the year, from 18°C highs in July to 2°C lows in March, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 3760 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
July
18°C average high
Coldest month
March
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
3760 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
2,516
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The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Tofino and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tofino hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Tofino 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Tofino, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 18°C) and coldest in Mar (lows around 2°C), with roughly 3760 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Tofino right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
8°
4°
Feb
7°
3°
Mar
9°
2°
Apr
11°
5°
May
14°
7°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
18°
12°
Aug
18°
13°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
10°
5°
Dec
7°
3°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Tofino's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.2°C
Around Tofino, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Frost nights
2 more nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−3%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
+0.6°C
−3
+5%
1996
−0.7°C
+16
+2%
1997
+0.8°C
−5
+8%
1998
+0.6°C
+1
+2%
1999
−0.6°C
−7
+5%
2000
−0.5°C
−5
−1%
2001
−0.6°C
−6
+5%
2002
−0.2°C
−1
−3%
2003
+0.2°C
−5
−1%
2004
+0.7°C
−4
−6%
2005
+0.3°C
+0
−1%
2006
−0.1°C
−2
+5%
2007
−0.5°C
−4
+2%
2008
−1.1°C
+9
−1%
2009
−0.6°C
+3
−3%
2010
−0.2°C
−1
+10%
2011
−0.9°C
+0
−1%
2012
−0.6°C
−1
+2%
2013
−0.1°C
+0
−12%
2014
+0.7°C
+0
−1%
2015
+1.1°C
−5
−6%
2016
+0.7°C
+2
+8%
2017
−0.1°C
+3
−1%
2018
+0.4°C
−3
−6%
2019
+0.3°C
+4
−9%
2020
+0.2°C
−1
+2%
2021
−0.3°C
+5
+5%
2022
−0.2°C
+4
−9%
2023
+0.4°C
−3
−1%
2024
+0.2°C
−3
+2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Tofino, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Tofino?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
73±1.5°C
92±4.1 km/h
8994% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #2
69±1.7°C
84±7.9 km/h
9597% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American
80
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C
95±2.4 km/h
6581% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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Common questions
What's the weather in Tofino today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Tofino today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Tofino today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Tofino and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tofino?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tofino (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tofino?
July is typically the warmest month in Tofino, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Tofino get?
The coldest month in Tofino is March, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Tofino get?
Tofino sees roughly 3760 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
Is Tofino getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Tofino, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.2°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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