Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Parksville today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain.
Parksville swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to 2°C lows in February, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1274 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
February
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
1274 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Parksville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Parksville hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Parksville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
10°6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
12°7°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14°7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12°6°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
9°5°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
7°2°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
9°1°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
9°1°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10°4°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
11°6°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
13°5°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
10°7°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
13°9°
±5°
Parksville, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1274 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Parksville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
3°
Feb
6°
2°
Mar
9°
2°
Apr
12°
5°
May
16°
8°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
22°
12°
Aug
22°
14°
Sep
18°
11°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
6°
2°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Parksville's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C
Around Parksville, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2015.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
10 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
+0.2°C
−6
+1
+2%
1996
−1.2°C
−8
+25
+2%
1997
+0.2°C
−6
−6
+2%
1998
+0.5°C
−1
+2
+2%
1999
−0.7°C
−9
−13
+6%
2000
−0.7°C
−11
−1
−2%
2001
−0.6°C
−10
−9
+2%
2002
−0.2°C
−3
+1
−6%
2003
+0.2°C
+6
−6
−2%
2004
+0.8°C
+10
−5
−6%
2005
+0.3°C
−5
+0
−2%
2006
−0.1°C
−7
−1
+6%
2007
−0.6°C
−10
−4
+2%
2008
−1.0°C
−4
+8
−2%
2009
−0.4°C
+6
+8
−2%
2010
−0.1°C
−6
+0
+10%
2011
−1.0°C
−14
+1
+2%
2012
−0.5°C
−6
−6
+2%
2013
±0.0°C
−3
+0
−10%
2014
+0.6°C
+12
+3
−2%
2015
+1.2°C
+10
−11
−10%
2016
+0.6°C
−5
−1
+6%
2017
−0.1°C
+8
+5
+2%
2018
+0.5°C
+10
−7
−2%
2019
+0.2°C
−7
+6
−6%
2020
+0.1°C
−6
−5
+2%
2021
+0.1°C
+16
+4
+6%
2022
±0.0°C
+11
+7
−6%
2023
+0.7°C
+12
−5
+2%
2024
+0.3°C
+12
−1
+2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Parksville, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Parksville?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
78±1.2°C
91±4.3 km/h
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
80
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C
95±2.6 km/h
6581% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American
80
/100rank #3
74±1.5°C
95±2.3 km/h
7687% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°9° to 11°
±18%82% to 100% chance
Tomorrow
±2°10° to 12°
±23%77% to 100% chance
Mon
±1°13° to 14°
±27%22% to 49% chance
Tue
±2°11° to 13°
±38%24% to 62% chance
Wed
±4°7° to 11°
±37%29% to 66% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Parksville
today, local time
Sunrise
07:52
Sunset
18:09
Daylight
10h 17m
Common questions
What's the weather in Parksville today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Parksville today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 12°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Parksville today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Parksville on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 77% (Env. Canada 100%, European 100%, American 77%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Parksville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Parksville (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Parksville?
July is typically the warmest month in Parksville, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does Parksville get?
The coldest month in Parksville is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Parksville get?
Parksville sees roughly 1274 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
Is Parksville getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Parksville, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004.
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