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CheckWeather CAThompson
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Thompson weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in Thompson today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 18°, with a 31% chance of rain.

16°
18°
14°
16°
18°
13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 58%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 59%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 42%

Latest for Thompson: Env. Canada (GEM model): 13° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 13° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Thompson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Tue
Rain
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Thu
Showers
18°
±6°
Fri
Heavy showers
13°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
13°
±6°
Mon
Partly cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
12°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
10°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
13°
±7°

Thompson is a small town of about 14,000 people in Manitoba, sitting at 55.7°N in a cool, high-latitude climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Thompson with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Norway House, Flin Flon, The Pas.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Thompson?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.8 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C97±1.5 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C96±2.1 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 17°±61%4% to 65% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 19°±27%4% to 31% chance
Tue±1°14° to 14°±9%91% to 100% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±35%47% to 82% chance
Thu±6°14° to 20°±31%44% to 75% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Thompson

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
20:12
Daylight
13h 26m

Common questions

What's the weather in Thompson today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Thompson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Thompson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Thompson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Thompson?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Thompson (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather