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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CASooke
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Sooke weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Sooke's high today between 18° and 23°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 14% chance of rain.

20°11°
22°11°
19°12°
21°12°
24°13°
21°13°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
18°
Mostly clear
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 10%
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light drizzle
Today 20°·Low 13°·Rain 94%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Cloudy
Today 23°·Low 10°·Rain 10%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Sooke and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
20° 11°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 11°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 12°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree
Thu
Clear
21° 13°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±2°
Sun
Clear
23° 14°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
24° 15°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
19° 11°
±4°

Sooke, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1330 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Sooke right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Sooke climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
Mar
10°
Apr
12°
May
17°
Jun
19°
10°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
24°
14°
Sep
20°
11°
Oct
15°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Sooke?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
76
/100rank #1
72±1.6°C91±4.3 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
75
/100rank #2
63±2.1°C92±4.1 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
65
/100rank #3
47±2.9°C95±2.3 km/t6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°18° to 23°±84%10% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±3°20° to 23°±12%2% to 14% chance
Mon±2°18° to 19°±36%19% to 55% chance
Tue±4°19° to 22°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wedmodels agree24° to 24°±5%0% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sooke

today, local time
Sunrise
06:38
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sooke today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Sooke today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sooke today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Sooke and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sooke?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Sooke (CheckWeather Score 76/100), ahead of the European at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sooke?
July is typically the warmest month in Sooke, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Sooke get?
The coldest month in Sooke is February, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Sooke get?
Sooke sees roughly 1330 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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