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CheckWeather CA›Colwood
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Colwood weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Colwood today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 12°, with a 97% chance of rain.

11°5°
12°7°
14°7°
13°6°
10°6°
8°4°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Overcast
Feels 2° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 81%
EuropeanECMWF
7°
Overcast
Feels 5° · Wind 1 km/h · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
5°
Overcast
Feels 2° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 85%

Latest for Colwood: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 7° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Overcast.

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Colwood weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Colwood swings 22°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1149 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 13 days a year at 25°C or above, 25 frost nights, and rain on 144 days.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
January
2°C average low
Wettest month
November
1149 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
17,000
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Most accurate here
Env. Canada
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
13 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
25 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
144 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Colwood’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Colwood and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Colwood hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Colwood 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
11° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
12° 7°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 7°
models agree
Tue
Showers
13° 6°
models agree
Wed
Showers
10° 6°
±3°
Thu
Showers
8° 4°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
9° 2°
±2°
Sat
Cloudy
9° 2°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
9° 4°
±2°
Mon
Drizzle
11° 5°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
13° 4°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
9° 6°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
13° 8°
±4°

Colwood, British Columbia is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1149 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Colwood right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Colwood climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
2°
Feb
7°
2°
Mar
9°
3°
Apr
12°
6°
May
16°
8°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
24°
13°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
6°
2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Colwood has changed since 1995

Colwood sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Langford. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Langford page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Colwood?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C96±1.8 km/h8994% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
83
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C91±4.6 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C95±2.4 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°10° to 12°±57%41% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±2°10° to 12°±41%56% to 97% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±43%16% to 59% chance
Tue±2°12° to 14°±20%13% to 33% chance
Wed±3°9° to 11°±30%40% to 70% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Colwood

today, local time
Sunrise
07:47
Sunset
18:07
Daylight
10h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Colwood today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 11° in Colwood today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 12°, with a 97% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Colwood today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Colwood on Sunday, October 25: every model gives at least 56% (Env. Canada 82%, European 97%, American 56%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 98%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Colwood?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for Colwood (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Colwood?
July is typically the warmest month in Colwood, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Colwood get?
The coldest month in Colwood is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Colwood get?
Colwood sees roughly 1149 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather