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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

North Riverdale weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in North Riverdale today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 2% chance of rain.

14°5°
16°6°
16°9°
9°5°
11°8°
18°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Clear
Today 15°·Low 4°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Mostly clear
Today 13°·Low 7°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Today 14°·Low 5°·Rain 0%
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North Riverdale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

North Riverdale swings 32°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -8°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 884 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-8°C average low
Wettest month
August
884 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and September
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around North Riverdale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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North Riverdale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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North Riverdale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14° 5°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 6°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 9°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
9° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11° 8°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Clear
15° 9°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
14° 9°
±4°
Sun
Showers
16° 12°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
16° 9°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 4°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 3°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 6°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
10° 4°
models agree

North Riverdale, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -8°C), with roughly 884 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for North Riverdale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

North Riverdale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-2°
-7°
Feb
1°
-8°
Mar
4°
-4°
Apr
10°
1°
May
16°
7°
Jun
21°
13°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
13°
6°
Nov
7°
0°
Dec
2°
-3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around North Riverdale has changed since 1995

North Riverdale sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Toronto. That square ran 2.1°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Toronto page.

Which forecast is most accurate in North Riverdale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C98±1.1 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C87±6.7 km/h9597% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C94±2.9 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±1°15° to 17°±20%0% to 20% chance
Tue±1°9° to 9°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°10° to 14°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in North Riverdale

today, local time
Sunrise
07:43
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in North Riverdale today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in North Riverdale today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in North Riverdale today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in North Riverdale on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for North Riverdale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for North Riverdale (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in North Riverdale?
July is typically the warmest month in North Riverdale, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does North Riverdale get?
The coldest month in North Riverdale is February, when overnight lows average about -8°C.
How much rain does North Riverdale get?
North Riverdale sees roughly 884 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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