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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Danforth weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Danforth's high today between 13° and 15°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 1% chance of rain.

14°4°
16°6°
16°8°
9°5°
11°7°
18°10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Clear
Feels 2° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
9°
Clear
Feels 6° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
6°
Clear
Feels 3° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 87%

Latest for Danforth: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Clear · European (ECMWF): 9° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 6° Clear.

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Danforth weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Danforth swings 30°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -7°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 882 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
-7°C average low
Wettest month
August
882 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and September
Residents
9,666
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Danforth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Danforth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Danforth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14° 4°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 6°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
9° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11° 7°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Clear
15° 9°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
14° 9°
±4°
Sun
Showers
16° 11°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
16° 9°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 4°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 5°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
10° 4°
models agree

Danforth, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -7°C), with roughly 882 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Danforth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Danforth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-2°
-6°
Feb
0°
-7°
Mar
3°
-3°
Apr
9°
2°
May
15°
7°
Jun
20°
13°
Jul
23°
16°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
7°
1°
Dec
2°
-2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Danforth has changed since 1995

Danforth sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Toronto. That square ran 2.1°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Toronto page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Danforth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C94±2.9 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C92±3.9 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
75
/100rank #3
60±2.2°C91±4.4 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±20%0% to 20% chance
Tue±1°9° to 9°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°10° to 13°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Danforth

today, local time
Sunrise
07:43
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Danforth today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Danforth's high today between 13° and 15°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Danforth today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Danforth on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Danforth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Danforth (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Danforth?
July is typically the warmest month in Danforth, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Danforth get?
The coldest month in Danforth is February, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Danforth get?
Danforth sees roughly 882 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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