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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Blake-Jones weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Blake-Jones's high today between 13° and 15°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 2% chance of rain.

14°5°
16°6°
16°8°
9°5°
11°8°
18°10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Clear
Today 15°·Low 4°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Mostly clear
Today 13°·Low 7°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Today 14°·Low 5°·Rain 0%
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Blake-Jones weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Blake-Jones swings 30°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -7°C lows in February, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 880 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
-7°C average low
Wettest month
August
880 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
3 months
June, July and September
Residents
7,727
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Blake-Jones and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Blake-Jones hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Blake-Jones 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14° 5°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 6°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 8°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
9° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11° 8°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
18° 10°
models agree
Fri
Clear
15° 9°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
14° 9°
±4°
Sun
Showers
16° 12°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
16° 9°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 4°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
11° 5°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
10° 4°
models agree

Blake-Jones, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -7°C), with roughly 880 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Blake-Jones right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Blake-Jones climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-2°
-6°
Feb
0°
-7°
Mar
3°
-3°
Apr
9°
2°
May
15°
7°
Jun
20°
13°
Jul
23°
16°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
18°
12°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
7°
1°
Dec
2°
-2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Blake-Jones has changed since 1995

Blake-Jones sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Toronto. That square ran 2.1°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Toronto page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Blake-Jones?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C94±2.8 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
75±1.4°C95±2.6 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #3
55±2.5°C93±3.7 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±1°15° to 17°±20%0% to 20% chance
Tue±1°9° to 9°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±4°10° to 13°±5%1% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Blake-Jones

today, local time
Sunrise
07:43
Sunset
18:19
Daylight
10h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Blake-Jones today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Blake-Jones's high today between 13° and 15°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Blake-Jones today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Blake-Jones on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blake-Jones?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Blake-Jones (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blake-Jones?
July is typically the warmest month in Blake-Jones, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Blake-Jones get?
The coldest month in Blake-Jones is February, when overnight lows average about -7°C.
How much rain does Blake-Jones get?
Blake-Jones sees roughly 880 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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