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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Napanee weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Napanee's high today between 13° and 15°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain.

14°0°
16°4°
15°6°
8°1°
10°0°
17°7°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Clear
Today 15°·Low -1°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Partly cloudy
Today 13°·Low 0°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Clear
Today 13°·Low 0°·Rain 0%
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Napanee weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Napanee swings 38°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -12°C lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 963 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 69 days a year at 25°C or above, 12 of them at 30°C or above, 135 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-12°C average low
Wettest month
September
963 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
7,439
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
69 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
135 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
135 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Napanee’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Napanee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Napanee hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Napanee 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14° 0°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 4°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15° 6°
±3°
Tue
Partly cloudy
8° 1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
10° 0°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
17° 7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
15° 7°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
15° 5°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
16° 7°
models agree
Mon
Rain
15° 8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 4°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
7° 1°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
11° 1°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
8° 0°
models agree

Napanee, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 963 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Napanee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Napanee climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-3°
-10°
Feb
-1°
-12°
Mar
4°
-5°
Apr
12°
1°
May
18°
7°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
26°
16°
Aug
25°
16°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
14°
6°
Nov
7°
-1°
Dec
0°
-6°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Napanee has changed since 1995

Napanee sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Greater Napanee. That square ran 1.2°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Greater Napanee page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Napanee?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C97±1.3 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±2.2 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
72
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C93±3.5 km/h4771% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°14° to 17°±45%0% to 45% chance
Tue±1°8° to 9°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±3°9° to 11°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Napanee

today, local time
Sunrise
07:34
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
10h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Napanee today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Napanee's high today between 13° and 15°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Napanee today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Napanee on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Napanee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Napanee (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Napanee?
July is typically the warmest month in Napanee, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Napanee get?
The coldest month in Napanee is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Napanee get?
Napanee sees roughly 963 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather