Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 3°C
Greater Napanee weather
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Clear,much the same tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Greater Napanee's high today between 13° and 15°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain.
Greater Napanee swings 38°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -12°C lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 963 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 69 days a year at 25°C or above, 12 of them at 30°C or above, 135 frost nights, and rain on 135 days.
Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-12°C average low
Wettest month
September
963 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
16,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
69 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
135 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
135 days
a year with 1 mm or more
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Greater Napanee’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Greater Napanee and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Greater Napanee hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Greater Napanee 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14°0°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16°4°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
15°6°
±3°
Tue
Partly cloudy
8°1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
10°0°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
17°7°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
15°7°
±4°
Sat
Partly cloudy
15°5°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
16°7°
models agree
Mon
Rain
15°8°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
12°4°
models agree
Wed
Drizzle
7°1°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
11°1°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
8°0°
models agree
Greater Napanee, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 963 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Greater Napanee right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-3°
-10°
Feb
-1°
-12°
Mar
4°
-5°
Apr
12°
1°
May
18°
7°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
26°
16°
Aug
25°
16°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
14°
6°
Nov
7°
-1°
Dec
0°
-6°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Greater Napanee's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.2°C
Around Greater Napanee, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 30°C
14 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Frost nights
7 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >30°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.0°C
+5
+6
+2%
1996
−1.6°C
−16
+21
−2%
1997
−1.2°C
−8
+15
+2%
1998
+0.9°C
−8
−14
−2%
1999
+0.3°C
+4
−3
+2%
2000
−1.5°C
−22
+2
+2%
2001
+0.1°C
−5
−1
−2%
2002
+0.2°C
+3
+21
+6%
2003
−1.2°C
+1
+4
−2%
2004
−1.3°C
−20
−10
−2%
2005
+0.1°C
+19
−1
−2%
2006
+0.7°C
+4
−6
+2%
2007
−0.3°C
−1
−4
+2%
2008
−0.7°C
−17
+4
−2%
2009
−1.0°C
−16
−1
−7%
2010
+0.7°C
+11
−8
−2%
2011
+0.4°C
−2
−9
−2%
2012
+1.6°C
+18
−4
−2%
2013
−0.2°C
+3
+5
+2%
2014
−1.1°C
−17
+1
+2%
2015
−0.1°C
+7
−6
+2%
2016
+1.1°C
+31
+4
+2%
2017
+0.2°C
−8
−6
+2%
2018
±0.0°C
+9
+16
+2%
2019
−0.8°C
−3
+6
+2%
2020
+0.5°C
+10
+4
+2%
2021
+1.3°C
+10
−17
−2%
2022
+0.7°C
+5
−5
+2%
2023
+1.2°C
−0
−3
−2%
2024
+1.8°C
+12
−22
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Greater Napanee, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Greater Napanee?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C
97±1.3 km/h
8994% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
82
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C
96±2.2 km/h
6581% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
72
/100rank #3
81±1.1°C
93±3.5 km/h
4771% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±3°13° to 15°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow
±1°15° to 16°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon
±3°14° to 17°
±45%0% to 45% chance
Tue
±1°8° to 9°
±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed
±3°9° to 11°
±2%0% to 2% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Greater Napanee
today, local time
Sunrise
07:34
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
10h 34m
Common questions
What's the weather in Greater Napanee today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Greater Napanee's high today between 13° and 15°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Greater Napanee today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Greater Napanee on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Greater Napanee?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Greater Napanee (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Greater Napanee?
July is typically the warmest month in Greater Napanee, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Greater Napanee get?
The coldest month in Greater Napanee is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does Greater Napanee get?
Greater Napanee sees roughly 963 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.
Is Greater Napanee getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Greater Napanee, 2015-2024 averaged 1.2°C warmer than 1995-2004.
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