Env. Canada, the European and the American model put La Malbaie's high today between 9° and 14°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 14% chance of rain.
La Malbaie swings 37°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to -15°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 999 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
July
22°C average high
Coldest month
January
-15°C average low
Wettest month
July
999 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
3 months
June, August and September
Residents
8,959
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The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around La Malbaie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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La Malbaie hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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La Malbaie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
11°0°
±5°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
12°2°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
12°3°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
5°-1°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
6°-3°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
10°-1°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
10°3°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
8°0°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
10°0°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
13°4°
±8°
Tue
Light rain
13°4°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
9°1°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
5°0°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
6°-1°
±3°
La Malbaie, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 22°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -15°C), with roughly 999 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for La Malbaie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-8°
-15°
Feb
-6°
-14°
Mar
-1°
-8°
Apr
6°
-2°
May
14°
5°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
22°
15°
Aug
21°
15°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
10°
4°
Nov
3°
-2°
Dec
-4°
-11°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How La Malbaie's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.1°C
Around La Malbaie, 2015-2024 averaged 1.1°C warmer than 1995-2004. 4 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
4 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
11 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
+3%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.7°C
+16
+9
−1%
1996
−0.9°C
−5
+15
−1%
1997
−1.7°C
−1
+16
−1%
1998
+0.4°C
−1
−4
−1%
1999
+0.3°C
+3
+10
−1%
2000
−1.2°C
−10
+8
−1%
2001
+0.3°C
+4
−1
−5%
2002
−0.8°C
+3
+20
−5%
2003
−1.3°C
+2
+7
−5%
2004
−1.8°C
−12
+13
−5%
2005
+0.2°C
+3
−8
+5%
2006
+0.6°C
−9
−7
−5%
2007
−0.4°C
−6
−5
+8%
2008
−0.1°C
−13
−12
−1%
2009
−0.2°C
−8
+1
+2%
2010
+1.6°C
+8
−10
+2%
2011
+0.7°C
−9
−12
+2%
2012
+1.2°C
−2
−12
−1%
2013
+0.3°C
−2
−1
+5%
2014
−0.1°C
+0
−10
+5%
2015
−0.3°C
−2
−5
+5%
2016
±0.0°C
−7
+2
−1%
2017
−0.3°C
−7
−4
−5%
2018
−0.4°C
+13
+16
+5%
2019
−0.9°C
−3
+7
+2%
2020
+0.4°C
+13
+13
+2%
2021
+1.5°C
+6
−15
−1%
2022
+0.3°C
−1
−7
+2%
2023
+1.4°C
+6
−10
−5%
2024
+2.2°C
+17
−20
+2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around La Malbaie, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in La Malbaie?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
83±1.0°C
94±2.9 km/h
8994% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European
85
/100rank #2
72±1.5°C
90±5.1 km/h
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
85
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C
92±3.8 km/h
8290% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±5°9° to 14°
models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow
±3°10° to 14°
±14%0% to 14% chance
Mon
±4°10° to 13°
±5%10% to 15% chance
Tue
±2°4° to 6°
±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed
±2°5° to 7°
±2%0% to 2% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in La Malbaie
today, local time
Sunrise
07:12
Sunset
17:35
Daylight
10h 23m
Common questions
What's the weather in La Malbaie today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put La Malbaie's high today between 9° and 14°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 14% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in La Malbaie today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in La Malbaie on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 14% (Env. Canada 0%, European 14%, American 10%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for La Malbaie?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for La Malbaie (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in La Malbaie?
July is typically the warmest month in La Malbaie, with average highs around 22°C.
How cold does La Malbaie get?
The coldest month in La Malbaie is January, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does La Malbaie get?
La Malbaie sees roughly 999 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is La Malbaie getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around La Malbaie, 2015-2024 averaged 1.1°C warmer than 1995-2004.
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