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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CALa Malbaie
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 6°C

La Malbaie weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put La Malbaie's high today between 15° and 21°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 29% chance of rain.

18°
24°11°
19°
17°
23°13°
16°10°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 10°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around La Malbaie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
18°
±6°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 11°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19°
models agree
Wed
Showers
17°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 13°
±3°
Fri
Partly cloudy
16° 10°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
18°
±7°
Sun
Rain
22° 12°
±5°
Mon
Partly cloudy
18° 10°
±5°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
18° 10°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
18°
±10°
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
15°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
14°
±4°

La Malbaie, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -12°C), with roughly 1055 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for La Malbaie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

La Malbaie climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
-11°
Feb
-4°
-12°
Mar
-5°
Apr
May
16°
Jun
20°
13°
Jul
24°
17°
Aug
21°
15°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
13°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-1°
-8°

Which forecast is most accurate in La Malbaie?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
EC
Env. Canada ★ Best
67
/100rank #1
58±2.3°C93±3.4 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
European logo
European
67
/100rank #2
61±2.2°C91±4.4 km/t5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
66
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C94±3.2 km/t2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°15° to 21°±2%3% to 5% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 24°±14%15% to 29% chance
Tue±2°18° to 19°±12%15% to 27% chance
Wed±3°15° to 18°±5%72% to 77% chance
Thu±3°21° to 24°±13%66% to 79% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in La Malbaie

today, local time
Sunrise
06:06
Sunset
19:11
Daylight
13h 5m

Common questions

What's the weather in La Malbaie today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for La Malbaie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in La Malbaie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for La Malbaie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for La Malbaie?
Over the last 30 days, the Env. Canada model has been the most accurate for La Malbaie (CheckWeather Score 67/100), ahead of the European at 67. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in La Malbaie?
July is typically the warmest month in La Malbaie, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does La Malbaie get?
The coldest month in La Malbaie is February, when overnight lows average about -12°C.
How much rain does La Malbaie get?
La Malbaie sees roughly 1055 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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