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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAKeswick
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Keswick weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Keswick's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 6% chance of rain.

22°15°
23°13°
24°14°
23°17°
21°15°
21°12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±7°
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Mostly clear
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 5%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Mostly clear
Today 22°·Low 16°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Mostly clear
Today 21°·Low 15°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Keswick and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
22° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Wed
Rain
23° 17°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±7°
Sat
Drizzle
24° 14°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 14°
±12°
Mon
Clear
17° 12°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
18° 13°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
19° 12°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
18° 11°
±3°

Keswick, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 977 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Keswick right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Keswick climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-5°
Feb
-6°
Mar
-3°
Apr
13°
May
20°
Jun
23°
15°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Keswick?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.7 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
79
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C95±2.7 km/t5877% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C95±2.6 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±5%1% to 6% chance
Tue±2°23° to 25°±4%6% to 10% chance
Wed±5°21° to 25°±15%67% to 82% chance
Thu±4°20° to 23°±9%30% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Keswick

today, local time
Sunrise
06:46
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
12h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Keswick today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Keswick today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Keswick today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Keswick and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Keswick?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Keswick (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Keswick?
July is typically the warmest month in Keswick, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Keswick get?
The coldest month in Keswick is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Keswick get?
Keswick sees roughly 977 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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