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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Uxbridge weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Uxbridge's high today between 13° and 15°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain.

14°2°
16°6°
14°5°
9°0°
11°2°
18°6°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
4°
Clear
Feels 2° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
6°
Clear
Feels 3° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
5°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 81%

Latest for Uxbridge: Env. Canada (GEM model): 4° Clear · European (ECMWF): 6° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Clear.

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Uxbridge weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Uxbridge swings 35°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -10°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 938 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 57 days a year at 25°C or above, 7 of them at 30°C or above, 144 frost nights, and rain on 145 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-10°C average low
Wettest month
July
938 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
21,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
90/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
57 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
144 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
145 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Uxbridge’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Uxbridge and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Uxbridge hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Uxbridge 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
14° 2°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 6°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
14° 5°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
9° 0°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11° 2°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 6°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
14° 6°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
16° 6°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
15° 8°
±3°
Mon
Light rain
14° 5°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
10° 1°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
7° 0°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
9° 2°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
7° 0°
models agree

Uxbridge, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -10°C), with roughly 938 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Uxbridge right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Uxbridge climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-4°
-9°
Feb
-1°
-10°
Mar
3°
-6°
Apr
11°
0°
May
17°
6°
Jun
22°
13°
Jul
25°
15°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
20°
11°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
6°
-1°
Dec
0°
-6°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Uxbridge has changed since 1995

Uxbridge sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as North York. That square ran 1.0°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the North York page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Uxbridge?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C96±2.2 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C97±1.5 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
79
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C90±4.8 km/h6581% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°13° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±24%0% to 24% chance
Tue±1°8° to 9°±5%0% to 5% chance
Wed±4°9° to 13°±5%0% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Uxbridge

today, local time
Sunrise
07:42
Sunset
18:17
Daylight
10h 35m

Common questions

What's the weather in Uxbridge today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Uxbridge's high today between 13° and 15°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Uxbridge today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Uxbridge on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Uxbridge?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Uxbridge (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Uxbridge?
July is typically the warmest month in Uxbridge, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Uxbridge get?
The coldest month in Uxbridge is February, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Uxbridge get?
Uxbridge sees roughly 938 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather