Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Happy Valley-Goose Bay today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 35% chance of rain.
Happy Valley-Goose Bay swings 43°C across the year, from 21°C highs in July to -22°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1172 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
July
21°C average high
Coldest month
January
-22°C average low
Wettest month
July
1172 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
2 months
June and August
Residents
7,572
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The weather map: all three models at once
Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Happy Valley-Goose Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Happy Valley-Goose Bay hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Happy Valley-Goose Bay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
10°-1°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
12°-1°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
11°1°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
3°-2°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
4°-3°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
5°0°
±2°
Fri
Snow
5°0°
±4°
Sat
Heavy snow
3°-2°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
5°-2°
models agree
Mon
Snow
8°0°
±3°
Tue
Heavy snow
6°1°
models agree
Wed
Light snow
5°1°
±5°
Thu
Snow
2°0°
models agree
Fri
Snow
2°-1°
±3°
Happy Valley-Goose Bay, Newfoundland and Labrador is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -22°C), with roughly 1172 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Happy Valley-Goose Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-11°
-22°
Feb
-10°
-20°
Mar
-5°
-13°
Apr
2°
-7°
May
9°
0°
Jun
17°
6°
Jul
21°
12°
Aug
20°
11°
Sep
15°
7°
Oct
8°
1°
Nov
-1°
-7°
Dec
-7°
-15°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Happy Valley-Goose Bay's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.1°C
Around Happy Valley-Goose Bay, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.1°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Frost nights
3 more nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
+1%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−0.7°C
−8
−2%
1996
+0.2°C
+15
+1%
1997
−1.3°C
−2
+1%
1998
±0.0°C
−5
−2%
1999
+0.6°C
+1
−2%
2000
+0.1°C
+19
−2%
2001
+0.4°C
−8
−6%
2002
−1.4°C
+4
+1%
2003
+0.2°C
−15
+1%
2004
+0.1°C
−0
+1%
2005
+0.6°C
−23
+4%
2006
+1.3°C
−13
+1%
2007
−0.5°C
+10
+4%
2008
−0.2°C
−14
−2%
2009
−0.3°C
+13
+4%
2010
+2.5°C
+2
+1%
2011
−0.2°C
+2
+1%
2012
+0.4°C
−10
−6%
2013
−0.5°C
+8
+4%
2014
−1.0°C
+5
−2%
2015
−2.0°C
+10
+1%
2016
−1.6°C
+8
−2%
2017
−0.6°C
+3
+1%
2018
−1.3°C
+35
+4%
2019
−0.7°C
−4
+4%
2020
−0.2°C
+4
+4%
2021
+2.1°C
−10
−2%
2022
±0.0°C
−4
−2%
2023
+1.2°C
−4
−6%
2024
+2.5°C
−11
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Happy Valley-Goose Bay, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Happy Valley-Goose Bay?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
99
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C
98±0.8 km/h
100100% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
82
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C
94±3.0 km/h
7184% hit
Environment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American
80
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C
92±4.2 km/h
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°9° to 11°
±3%0% to 3% chance
Tomorrow
±2°11° to 13°
±23%12% to 35% chance
Mon
±2°10° to 12°
±7%12% to 19% chance
Tue
±1°2° to 4°
±7%1% to 8% chance
Wed
±1°4° to 5°
±5%1% to 6% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Happy Valley-Goose Bay
today, local time
Sunrise
07:44
Sunset
17:45
Daylight
10h 1m
Common questions
What's the weather in Happy Valley-Goose Bay today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 10° in Happy Valley-Goose Bay today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 12°, with a 35% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Happy Valley-Goose Bay today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Happy Valley-Goose Bay on Sunday, October 25: Env. Canada 24%, European 35%, American 12%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 3%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Happy Valley-Goose Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Happy Valley-Goose Bay (CheckWeather Score 99/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Happy Valley-Goose Bay?
July is typically the warmest month in Happy Valley-Goose Bay, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Happy Valley-Goose Bay get?
The coldest month in Happy Valley-Goose Bay is January, when overnight lows average about -22°C.
How much rain does Happy Valley-Goose Bay get?
Happy Valley-Goose Bay sees roughly 1172 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Happy Valley-Goose Bay getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Happy Valley-Goose Bay, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.1°C, within the normal swing from year to year.