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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Greely weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Greely's high today between 10° and 13°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 1% chance of rain.

12°-1°
16°-1°
14°4°
7°-1°
8°-2°
16°2°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
-1°
Clear
Feels -4° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
2°
Mainly clear
Feels 0° · Wind 0 km/h · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-2°
Partly cloudy
Feels -5° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 99%

Latest for Greely: Env. Canada (GEM model): -1° Clear · European (ECMWF): 2° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): -2° Partly cloudy.

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Greely weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Greely swings 40°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1075 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
September
1075 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
9,049
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Greely and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Greely hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Greely 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
12° -1°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° -1°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 4°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
7° -1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° -2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 2°
models agree
Fri
Clear
14° 6°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
11° 3°
±7°
Sun
Drizzle
16° 5°
±3°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
14° 8°
±5°
Tue
Light snow
13° 3°
±4°
Wed
Light snow
6° 0°
±3°
Thu
Light rain
8° 1°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
7° 0°
±4°

Greely, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1075 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Greely right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Greely climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-5°
-12°
Feb
-2°
-14°
Mar
2°
-7°
Apr
11°
-1°
May
19°
7°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
26°
16°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
21°
10°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
6°
-2°
Dec
-2°
-8°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Greely has changed since 1995

Greely sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Ottawa. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Ottawa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Greely?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C98±0.9 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C92±4.1 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C96±2.0 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°10° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°12° to 16°±63%5% to 68% chance
Tuemodels agree6° to 7°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°8° to 9°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Greely

today, local time
Sunrise
07:30
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
10h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Greely today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Greely's high today between 10° and 13°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Greely today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Greely on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Greely?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Greely (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Greely?
July is typically the warmest month in Greely, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Greely get?
The coldest month in Greely is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Greely get?
Greely sees roughly 1075 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather