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CheckWeather CA›Blackburn Hamlet
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Blackburn Hamlet weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Blackburn Hamlet's high today between 11° and 14°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 16°, with a 1% chance of rain.

12°-2°
16°-1°
14°3°
7°-1°
8°-2°
16°2°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Clear
Today 14°·Low -1°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low -1°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Clear
Today 11°·Low -3°·Rain 0%
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Blackburn Hamlet weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Blackburn Hamlet swings 40°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1017 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
June
1017 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, July, August and September
Residents
8,173
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Blackburn Hamlet and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Blackburn Hamlet hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Blackburn Hamlet 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
12° -2°
±2°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
16° -1°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
14° 3°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
7° -1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° -2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 2°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
14° 5°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
10° 4°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
15° 4°
±3°
Mon
Light rain
13° 8°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
13° 4°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
5° 1°
±3°
Thu
Light rain
8° 1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
7° 0°
±4°

Blackburn Hamlet, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 1017 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Blackburn Hamlet right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Blackburn Hamlet climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-5°
-12°
Feb
-3°
-14°
Mar
2°
-7°
Apr
10°
-1°
May
19°
8°
Jun
24°
13°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
14°
5°
Nov
5°
-1°
Dec
-2°
-8°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Blackburn Hamlet has changed since 1995

Blackburn Hamlet sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Ottawa. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Ottawa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Blackburn Hamlet?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.8 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C97±1.7 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C95±2.4 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°11° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree16° to 16°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°12° to 16°±49%5% to 54% chance
Tue±1°7° to 7°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°8° to 9°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Blackburn Hamlet

today, local time
Sunrise
07:30
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
10h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Blackburn Hamlet today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Blackburn Hamlet's high today between 11° and 14°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 16°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Blackburn Hamlet today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Blackburn Hamlet on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blackburn Hamlet?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Blackburn Hamlet (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blackburn Hamlet?
July is typically the warmest month in Blackburn Hamlet, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Blackburn Hamlet get?
The coldest month in Blackburn Hamlet is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Blackburn Hamlet get?
Blackburn Hamlet sees roughly 1017 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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