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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Nepean weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Nepean's high today between 21° and 25°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 10% chance of rain.

23°13°
24°14°
21°15°
21°16°
22°14°
18°10°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
19°
Clear
Feels 17° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 52%
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 77%

Latest for Nepean: Env. Canada (GEM model): 19° Clear · European (ECMWF): 17° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Nepean and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
23° 13°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 14°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±3°
Wed
Showers
21° 16°
±3°
Thu
Showers
22° 14°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
18° 10°
models agree
Sat
Showers
23° 12°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
23° 13°
±10°
Mon
Clear
18° 11°
±8°
Tue
Clear
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Clear
19° 10°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
20° 10°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
19° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
18° 10°
±4°

Nepean, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -10°C), with roughly 1133 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Nepean right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Nepean climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-9°
Feb
-10°
Mar
-4°
Apr
12°
May
20°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
27°
18°
Aug
24°
16°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
16°
Nov
Dec
-6°

Which forecast is most accurate in Nepean?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.7 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C95±2.4 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
77
/100rank #3
61±2.2°C94±3.0 km/t8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°21° to 25°±15%2% to 17% chance
Tomorrow±3°22° to 25°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±2%10% to 12% chance
Wed±3°20° to 23°±11%69% to 80% chance
Thu±3°20° to 23°±12%30% to 42% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Nepean

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
19:31
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Nepean today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Nepean today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Nepean today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Nepean and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Nepean?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Nepean (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Nepean?
July is typically the warmest month in Nepean, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Nepean get?
The coldest month in Nepean is February, when overnight lows average about -10°C.
How much rain does Nepean get?
Nepean sees roughly 1133 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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