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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Embrun weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Embrun's high today between 10° and 13°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain.

12°-2°
16°-1°
14°3°
7°-1°
9°-2°
16°2°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±6°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
13°
Clear
Today 13°·Low -3°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low -2°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Fog
Today 10°·Low -2°·Rain 0%
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Embrun weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Embrun swings 38°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -13°C lows in January, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1027 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
January
-13°C average low
Wettest month
July
1027 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
8,680
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Embrun and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Embrun hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Embrun 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
12° -2°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° -1°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 3°
±6°
Tue
Clear
7° -1°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
9° -2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 2°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
14° 5°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
11° 3°
±6°
Sun
Light drizzle
16° 5°
±3°
Mon
Light rain
15° 9°
±6°
Tue
Light drizzle
13° 4°
±5°
Wed
Snow
6° 0°
±3°
Thu
Light rain
8° 1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
7° 0°
±4°

Embrun, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -13°C), with roughly 1027 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Embrun right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Embrun climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-5°
-13°
Feb
-2°
-13°
Mar
2°
-7°
Apr
11°
-1°
May
19°
7°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
25°
16°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
21°
10°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
6°
-2°
Dec
-2°
-8°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Embrun has changed since 1995

Embrun sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Clarence-Rockland. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Clarence-Rockland page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Embrun?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C97±1.4 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
83
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±2.1 km/h7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
80
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C95±2.5 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°10° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±6°11° to 17°±64%5% to 69% chance
Tuemodels agree7° to 7°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°8° to 9°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Embrun

today, local time
Sunrise
07:29
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
10h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Embrun today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Embrun's high today between 10° and 13°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Embrun today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Embrun on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Embrun?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Embrun (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Embrun?
July is typically the warmest month in Embrun, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Embrun get?
The coldest month in Embrun is January, when overnight lows average about -13°C.
How much rain does Embrun get?
Embrun sees roughly 1027 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather