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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CAChelsea
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Chelsea weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Chelsea's high today between 22° and 24°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 16% chance of rain.

23°13°
24°14°
22°15°
21°15°
22°14°
18°10°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±4°Fridaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
24°
Clear
Today 24°·Low 11°·Rain 23%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Partly cloudy
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 15°·Rain 4%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Chelsea and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
23° 13°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
22° 15°
±3°
Wed
Showers
21° 15°
±2°
Thu
Drizzle
22° 14°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
18° 10°
models agree
Sat
Showers
23° 12°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±9°
Mon
Clear
17° 11°
±6°
Tue
Clear
17° 12°
±3°
Wed
Clear
19° 11°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
19° 10°
models agree
Sat
Rain
18° 10°
models agree

Chelsea, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1163 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Chelsea right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Chelsea climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-2°
-10°
Feb
-1°
-11°
Mar
-4°
Apr
12°
May
19°
Jun
24°
14°
Jul
26°
17°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
23°
13°
Oct
15°
Nov
-1°
Dec
-1°
-7°

Which forecast is most accurate in Chelsea?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.7 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
76
/100rank #2
70±1.7°C94±2.8 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
63
/100rank #3
72±1.5°C95±2.3 km/t2961% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±23%0% to 23% chance
Tomorrow±2°24° to 25°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±4%12% to 16% chance
Wed±2°20° to 22°±7%73% to 80% chance
Thu±4°20° to 23°±15%29% to 44% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chelsea

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
19:31
Daylight
13h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chelsea today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Chelsea today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chelsea today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Chelsea and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chelsea?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chelsea (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chelsea?
July is typically the warmest month in Chelsea, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Chelsea get?
The coldest month in Chelsea is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Chelsea get?
Chelsea sees roughly 1163 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather