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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Cantley weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Cantley today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 1% chance of rain.

12°0°
16°1°
13°3°
6°-1°
8°-1°
15°2°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
6°
Clear
Feels 3° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 57%
EuropeanECMWF
4°
Mainly clear
Feels 2° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 76%
AmericanNOAA GFS
2°
Mainly clear
Feels -1° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Cantley: Env. Canada (GEM model): 6° Clear · European (ECMWF): 4° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 2° Mainly clear.

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Cantley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Cantley swings 39°C across the year, from 24°C highs in July to -15°C lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1047 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
24°C average high
Coldest month
February
-15°C average low
Wettest month
September
1047 mm a year
Below freezing
6 months
January, February, March, April, November and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Cantley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cantley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Cantley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
12° 0°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 1°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
13° 3°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
6° -1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° -1°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
15° 2°
models agree
Fri
Clear
13° 5°
±3°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
9° 4°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
14° 4°
±4°
Mon
Light rain
13° 7°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
12° 3°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
5° 0°
±4°
Thu
Light snow
8° 0°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
6° -1°
±4°

Cantley, Quebec is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -15°C), with roughly 1047 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Cantley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Cantley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-6°
-14°
Feb
-4°
-15°
Mar
1°
-8°
Apr
9°
-2°
May
18°
7°
Jun
22°
12°
Jul
24°
15°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
20°
10°
Oct
12°
4°
Nov
4°
-3°
Dec
-3°
-10°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Cantley has changed since 1995

Cantley sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Ottawa. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Ottawa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cantley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.8 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C92±4.2 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C96±1.8 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree16° to 16°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°11° to 15°±49%6% to 55% chance
Tue±1°6° to 6°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°7° to 8°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cantley

today, local time
Sunrise
07:31
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
10h 31m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cantley today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Cantley today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Cantley today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Cantley on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cantley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cantley (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cantley?
July is typically the warmest month in Cantley, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Cantley get?
The coldest month in Cantley is February, when overnight lows average about -15°C.
How much rain does Cantley get?
Cantley sees roughly 1047 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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