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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Gatineau weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Gatineau today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 17°, with a 1% chance of rain.

13°0°
17°1°
14°4°
7°0°
8°-1°
16°3°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
14°
Clear
Today 14°·Low 1°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Cloudy
Today 13°·Low 1°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Clear
Today 12°·Low -2°·Rain 0%
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Gatineau weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Gatineau swings 39°C across the year, from 25°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 946 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 57 days a year at 25°C or above, 10 of them at 30°C or above, 153 frost nights, and rain on 142 days.

Warmest month
July
25°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
September
946 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
300,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
92/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
57 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
153 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
142 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Gatineau’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Gatineau and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gatineau hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Gatineau 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
13° 0°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
17° 1°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 4°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
7° 0°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° -1°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
16° 3°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
14° 6°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
10° 4°
±6°
Sun
Cloudy
15° 4°
±4°
Mon
Light rain
14° 8°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
13° 4°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
5° 1°
±4°
Thu
Light snow
8° 1°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
7° 0°
±5°

Gatineau, Quebec. Below we compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Gatineau right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Gatineau's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Gatineau weather by month

what to expect in Gatineau through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Gatineau's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Gatineau by season.

Jan
-5°
-13°
Cold
Feb
-4°
-14°
Cold
Mar
2°
-7°
Cold
Apr
10°
-1°
Cool
May
18°
7°
Mild
Jun
23°
13°
Warm
Jul
25°
16°
Warm
Aug
24°
15°
Warm
Sep
21°
11°
Mild
Wettest
Oct
13°
5°
Cool
Nov
5°
-2°
Cold
Dec
-3°
-9°
Cold

What Gatineau's weather is like through the year

Gatineau runs from warm summers, with July highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when February lows sit around -14°C (a swing of about 39°C across the year). September is usually the wettest month, and Gatineau sees roughly 946 mm of precipitation annually. Overnight lows stay below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December), so Gatineau sees regular winter snowfall.

Best time to visit Gatineau

The most comfortable time to visit Gatineau is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.

How the weather around Gatineau has changed since 1995

Gatineau sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Ottawa. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Ottawa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Gatineau?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C99±0.7 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
69±1.7°C95±2.4 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
78
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C97±1.6 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Gatineau, scoring 92/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 80. See the full CA accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°12° to 14°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree17° to 17°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±4°12° to 16°±50%5% to 55% chance
Tue±1°7° to 7°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°8° to 9°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gatineau

today, local time
Sunrise
07:31
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
10h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gatineau today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Gatineau today. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 17°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Gatineau today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Gatineau on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gatineau?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gatineau (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gatineau?
July is typically the warmest month in Gatineau, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Gatineau get?
The coldest month in Gatineau is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Gatineau get?
Gatineau sees roughly 946 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Gatineau?
The most comfortable time to visit Gatineau is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest September rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Gatineau?
Yes - overnight lows fall below freezing across 6 months (January, February, March, April, November and December) in Gatineau, so winter snowfall is common.

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