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CheckWeather CAChatham
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Chatham weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Chatham's high today between 24° and 26°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 4% chance of rain.

25°14°
24°14°
25°13°
26°21°
25°17°
23°13°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°Fridaysplit ±5°
Env. CanadaGEM model
26°
Cloudy
Today 26°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 15°·Rain 16%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Chatham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
25° 14°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
25° 13°
±2°
Wed
Cloudy
26° 21°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
25° 17°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
23° 13°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
27° 17°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
24° 16°
±14°
Mon
Mostly clear
23° 11°
±11°
Tue
Clear
21° 11°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
21° 10°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
22° 10°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
23° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree

Chatham, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -4°C), with roughly 1004 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Chatham right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Chatham climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-4°
Feb
-4°
Mar
-1°
Apr
15°
May
21°
Jun
25°
15°
Jul
27°
17°
Aug
25°
16°
Sep
24°
15°
Oct
17°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Chatham?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C96±1.8 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
76
/100rank #2
69±1.7°C96±1.9 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
88±0.6°C95±2.4 km/t3665% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°24° to 26°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°24° to 27°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±4°24° to 27°±23%20% to 43% chance
Thu±5°23° to 28°±5%7% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chatham

today, local time
Sunrise
06:59
Sunset
19:54
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chatham today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Chatham today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chatham today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Chatham and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chatham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chatham (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chatham?
July is typically the warmest month in Chatham, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Chatham get?
The coldest month in Chatham is January, when overnight lows average about -4°C.
How much rain does Chatham get?
Chatham sees roughly 1004 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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