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CheckWeather CABelle River
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Belle River weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 25° in Belle River today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 17% chance of rain.

25°17°
24°16°
26°15°
27°21°
26°19°
24°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaysplit ±6°Fridaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
25°
Clear
Today 25°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 18°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 17°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Belle River and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
25° 17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 16°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
26° 15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
27° 21°
±2°
Thu
Light drizzle
26° 19°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
24° 15°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
27° 19°
±5°
Sun
Cloudy
26° 18°
±9°
Mon
Mostly clear
22° 15°
±13°
Tue
Clear
20° 14°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
20° 12°
±2°
Thu
Clear
21° 13°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
23° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree

Belle River, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around -3°C), with roughly 913 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Belle River right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Belle River climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-3°
Feb
-3°
Mar
Apr
15°
May
21°
11°
Jun
25°
16°
Jul
27°
19°
Aug
25°
18°
Sep
23°
16°
Oct
17°
10°
Nov
10°
Dec

Which forecast is most accurate in Belle River?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C95±2.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
63
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C94±2.8 km/t2458% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
59
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C94±3.1 km/t548% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°24° to 25°±22%0% to 22% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 25°±17%0% to 17% chance
Tuemodels agree26° to 27°±4%1% to 5% chance
Wed±2°26° to 29°±27%15% to 42% chance
Thu±6°24° to 29°±4%6% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Belle River

today, local time
Sunrise
07:01
Sunset
19:56
Daylight
12h 55m

Common questions

What's the weather in Belle River today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Belle River today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Belle River today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Belle River and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Belle River?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Belle River (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 63. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Belle River?
July is typically the warmest month in Belle River, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Belle River get?
The coldest month in Belle River is January, when overnight lows average about -3°C.
How much rain does Belle River get?
Belle River sees roughly 913 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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