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CheckWeather CA›Amherstburg
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Amherstburg weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Amherstburg today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 18°, with a 1% chance of rain.

18°6°
18°8°
19°9°
16°8°
18°10°
22°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
6°
Clear
Feels 3° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 99%
EuropeanECMWF
8°
Clear
Feels 6° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
6°
Clear
Feels 3° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 92%

Latest for Amherstburg: Env. Canada (GEM model): 6° Clear · European (ECMWF): 8° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 6° Clear.

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Amherstburg weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Amherstburg swings 32°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -6°C lows in February, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 955 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-6°C average low
Wettest month
July
955 mm a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, August and September
Residents
14,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Amherstburg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Amherstburg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Amherstburg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
18° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 8°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
19° 9°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 8°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
18° 10°
±4°
Thu
Clear
22° 9°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
20° 8°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
19° 12°
models agree
Sun
Showers
19° 14°
±3°
Mon
Light rain
16° 6°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
10° 3°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
9° 1°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
13° 5°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
12° 6°
±5°

Amherstburg, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -6°C), with roughly 955 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Amherstburg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Amherstburg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
0°
-5°
Feb
2°
-6°
Mar
6°
-2°
Apr
12°
4°
May
18°
9°
Jun
24°
16°
Jul
26°
18°
Aug
25°
17°
Sep
21°
14°
Oct
15°
8°
Nov
8°
2°
Dec
3°
-2°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Amherstburg has changed since 1995

Amherstburg sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as LaSalle. That square ran 1.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the LaSalle page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Amherstburg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C91±4.3 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
87
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C97±1.3 km/h7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C95±2.4 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°17° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°17° to 18°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±1°19° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±4°13° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°16° to 20°±3%0% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Amherstburg

today, local time
Sunrise
07:55
Sunset
18:36
Daylight
10h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Amherstburg today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 18° in Amherstburg today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 18°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Amherstburg today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Amherstburg on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Amherstburg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Amherstburg (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Amherstburg?
July is typically the warmest month in Amherstburg, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Amherstburg get?
The coldest month in Amherstburg is February, when overnight lows average about -6°C.
How much rain does Amherstburg get?
Amherstburg sees roughly 955 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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