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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CACarleton Place
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Carleton Place weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Carleton Place today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 24°, with a 8% chance of rain.

22°13°
24°12°
21°15°
21°17°
22°14°
19°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±4°
Env. CanadaGEM model
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low 12°·Rain 35%
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 13°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 14°·Rain 9%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Carleton Place and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
24° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 15°
±5°
Wed
Showers
21° 17°
models agree
Thu
Showers
22° 14°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
19° 10°
±4°
Sat
Showers
23° 12°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 13°
±10°
Mon
Clear
18° 10°
±8°
Tue
Clear
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Clear
19° 10°
±7°
Thu
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
19° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
18° 10°
±4°

Carleton Place is a small town of about 12,000 people in Ontario, sitting at 45.1°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Carleton Place with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Almonte, Mississippi Mills, Stittsville.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Carleton Place?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±1.8 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
84
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C95±2.3 km/t7687% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C94±2.9 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±29%6% to 35% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tue±5°18° to 23°±9%5% to 14% chance
Wed±2°20° to 22°±21%57% to 78% chance
Thu±3°20° to 23°±11%25% to 36% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Carleton Place

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
19:33
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Carleton Place today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Carleton Place today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carleton Place today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Carleton Place and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carleton Place?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Carleton Place (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather