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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Kanata weather

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Clear,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Kanata today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 1% chance of rain.

13°0°
17°0°
14°3°
6°-1°
8°-2°
16°3°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
0°
Clear
Feels -3° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 91%
EuropeanECMWF
1°
Clear
Feels -1° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
-1°
Mainly clear
Feels -4° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 95%

Latest for Kanata: Env. Canada (GEM model): 0° Clear · European (ECMWF): 1° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): -1° Mainly clear.

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Kanata weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Kanata swings 40°C across the year, from 26°C highs in July to -14°C lows in February, and September is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 930 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 63 days a year at 25°C or above, 12 of them at 30°C or above, 151 frost nights, and rain on 140 days.

Warmest month
July
26°C average high
Coldest month
February
-14°C average low
Wettest month
September
930 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
90,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
63 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
151 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
140 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Kanata’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Kanata and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kanata hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Kanata 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
13° 0°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17° 0°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 3°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
6° -1°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
8° -2°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
16° 3°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
14° 5°
±3°
Sat
Drizzle
11° 4°
±8°
Sun
Light drizzle
16° 5°
±3°
Mon
Drizzle
14° 7°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
13° 4°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
6° 1°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
9° 1°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
7° 0°
±4°

Kanata, Ontario is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -14°C), with roughly 930 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Kanata right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Kanata climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-5°
-13°
Feb
-3°
-14°
Mar
2°
-7°
Apr
11°
0°
May
19°
7°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
26°
16°
Aug
24°
15°
Sep
21°
11°
Oct
13°
5°
Nov
5°
-1°
Dec
-2°
-8°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Kanata has changed since 1995

Kanata sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Ottawa. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Ottawa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Kanata?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±0.8 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C95±2.4 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
EC
Env. Canada
86
/100rank #3
83±0.9°C95±2.7 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±5°11° to 16°±61%6% to 67% chance
Tuemodels agree6° to 7°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°8° to 9°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Kanata

today, local time
Sunrise
07:31
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
10h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Kanata today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Kanata today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 17°, with a 1% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kanata today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Kanata on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 1% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 1%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kanata?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Kanata (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kanata?
July is typically the warmest month in Kanata, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Kanata get?
The coldest month in Kanata is February, when overnight lows average about -14°C.
How much rain does Kanata get?
Kanata sees roughly 930 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather