Light rain,rain likely tomorrow
Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Cap-aux-Meules today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 16°, with a 95% chance of rain.
Cap-aux-Meules is a small town of about 12,000 people in Quebec, sitting at 47.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Cap-aux-Meules with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Three Rivers, Sherwood, Stratford.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.