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CheckWeather CACap-aux-Meules
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Cap-aux-Meules weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 14° in Cap-aux-Meules today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 16°, with a 95% chance of rain.

14°13°
16°14°
17°14°
15°13°
18°14°
17°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
15°
Light rain
Today 15°·Low 14°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light rain
Today 15°·Low 14°·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light rain
Today 13°·Low 12°·Rain 100%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Cap-aux-Meules and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
14° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
16° 14°
models agree
Tue
Showers
17° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
15° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
18° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
17° 15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
16° 14°
models agree
Sun
Showers
18° 15°
models agree
Mon
Showers
17° 14°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 15°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
16° 14°
models agree
Fri
Clear
15° 13°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
14° 13°
models agree

Cap-aux-Meules is a small town of about 12,000 people in Quebec, sitting at 47.4°N in a temperate climate zone. Env. Canada, European, American each forecast Cap-aux-Meules with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Three Rivers, Sherwood, Stratford.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Cap-aux-Meules?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.3 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
74
/100rank #2
66±1.9°C92±4.1 km/t7184% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
60
/100rank #3
45±3.0°C87±6.4 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°13° to 15°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°15° to 16°±18%77% to 95% chance
Tue±1°17° to 18°±26%52% to 78% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±40%15% to 55% chance
Thu±2°18° to 19°±13%69% to 82% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Cap-aux-Meules

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
19:38
Daylight
13h 5m

Common questions

What's the weather in Cap-aux-Meules today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Cap-aux-Meules today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cap-aux-Meules today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Cap-aux-Meules and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cap-aux-Meules?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cap-aux-Meules (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 74. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More CA weather