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CheckWeather CA›Stratford
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Stratford weather

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Cloudy,warmer tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 8° in Stratford today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 13°, with a 0% chance of rain.

8°3°
13°4°
13°8°
8°4°
6°2°
10°2°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
Env. CanadaGEM model
5°
Clear
Feels 1° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 68%
EuropeanECMWF
5°
Partly cloudy
Feels 1° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 66%
AmericanNOAA GFS
5°
Overcast
Feels 1° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 71%

Latest for Stratford: Env. Canada (GEM model): 5° Clear · European (ECMWF): 5° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 5° Overcast.

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Stratford weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Stratford swings 34°C across the year, from 23°C highs in July to -11°C lows in February, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1221 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
23°C average high
Coldest month
February
-11°C average low
Wettest month
October
1221 mm a year
Below freezing
5 months
January, February, March, April and December
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Stratford and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Stratford hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Stratford 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
8° 3°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
13° 4°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
8° 4°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
6° 2°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
10° 2°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
12° 7°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
9° 3°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
9° 1°
±5°
Mon
Cloudy
12° 6°
±6°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15° 9°
±8°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
14° 8°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
9° 3°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
7° 2°
±6°

Stratford, Prince Edward Island is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 23°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -11°C), with roughly 1221 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Stratford right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Stratford climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
-3°
-9°
Feb
-3°
-11°
Mar
1°
-6°
Apr
7°
-1°
May
13°
4°
Jun
18°
11°
Jul
23°
16°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
19°
13°
Oct
13°
8°
Nov
6°
1°
Dec
0°
-5°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Stratford has changed since 1995

Stratford sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Charlottetown. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Charlottetown page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Stratford?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.5 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
89
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C94±2.9 km/h8290% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
89
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C95±2.5 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1320 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Canada? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Env. CanadaGEM model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°7° to 8°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°12° to 13°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°13° to 14°±14%14% to 28% chance
Tue±1°7° to 8°±17%10% to 27% chance
Wed±1°6° to 6°±10%0% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Stratford

today, local time
Sunrise
07:41
Sunset
18:10
Daylight
10h 29m

Common questions

What's the weather in Stratford today?
Saturday, October 24: Env. Canada, the European and the American model agree on a high near 8° in Stratford today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 13°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Stratford today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Stratford on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (Env. Canada 0%, European 0%, American 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 2%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Stratford?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Stratford (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Stratford?
July is typically the warmest month in Stratford, with average highs around 23°C.
How cold does Stratford get?
The coldest month in Stratford is February, when overnight lows average about -11°C.
How much rain does Stratford get?
Stratford sees roughly 1221 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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