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Every Canadian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather CACharlottetown
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Charlottetown weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Env. Canada, the European and the American model put Charlottetown's high today between 14° and 16°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks rain around 16°, with a 95% chance of rain.

15°13°
16°13°
17°12°
16°11°
21°14°
20°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Env. CanadaGEM model
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low 14°·Rain 100%
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Drizzle
Today 14°·Low 13°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Rain
Today 14°·Low 13°·Rain 59%

The weather map: all three models at once

Env. Canada, European, American side by side around Charlottetown and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
15° 13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Rain
16° 13°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
17° 12°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Rain
21° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
21° 14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 14°
±5°
Tue
Heavy drizzle
19° 13°
±5°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
18° 13°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 12°
models agree
Fri
Clear
17° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
15°
±2°

Charlottetown, Prince Edward Island is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Feb (lows around -9°C), with roughly 1234 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Env. Canada, European, American forecast for Charlottetown right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Canada before you trust any single number.

Charlottetown climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
-6°
Feb
-2°
-9°
Mar
-4°
Apr
May
14°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
25°
18°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
20°
14°
Oct
14°
Nov
Dec
-3°

Which forecast is most accurate in Charlottetown?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±2.0 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
EC
Env. Canada
61
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C93±3.3 km/t2458% hitEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaDorval, Québec, Canada
American logo
American
61
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C93±3.3 km/t1855% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1302 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Canada, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°14° to 16°±41%59% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°±51%44% to 95% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°±41%43% to 84% chance
Wedmodels agree16° to 16°±35%14% to 49% chance
Thu±1°21° to 21°±7%72% to 79% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Charlottetown

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
19:42
Daylight
13h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Charlottetown today?
On this page we show what Env. Canada, European, American each forecast for Charlottetown today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Charlottetown today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Env. Canada, European, American for Charlottetown and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Charlottetown?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Charlottetown (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the Env. Canada at 61. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the CA accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Charlottetown?
July is typically the warmest month in Charlottetown, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Charlottetown get?
The coldest month in Charlottetown is February, when overnight lows average about -9°C.
How much rain does Charlottetown get?
Charlottetown sees roughly 1234 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More CA weather