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CheckWeather AUOcean Grove
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Ocean Grove weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Ocean Grove today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 37% chance of rain.

16°10°
13°
14°
12°
14°
14°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 22%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 10°·Rain 45%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Ocean Grove and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
14°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
±4°
Fri
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 11°
±9°

Ocean Grove is a small town of about 14,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 38.3°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Ocean Grove with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Leopold, Clifton Springs, Grovedale.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ocean Grove?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.4 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.3 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
84
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C93±3.6 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°±45%0% to 45% chance
Tomorrowmodels agree13° to 13°±24%13% to 37% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±17%1% to 18% chance
Wedmodels agree12° to 13°±56%15% to 71% chance
Thu±1°14° to 14°±8%0% to 8% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ocean Grove

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ocean Grove today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Ocean Grove today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Ocean Grove today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Ocean Grove and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ocean Grove?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ocean Grove (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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