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CheckWeather AU›Belmont
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Belmont weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Belmont's high today between 18° and 21°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.

19°15°
17°8°
15°6°
16°6°
18°7°
19°9°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light rain
Feels 18° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Showers
Feels 17° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Light rain
Feels 19° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 96%

Latest for Belmont: European (ECMWF): 16° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Showers · German (DWD ICON): 17° Light rain.

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Belmont weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Belmont swings 20°C across the year, from 25°C highs in February to 5°C lows in August, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 550 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
25°C average high
Coldest month
August
5°C average low
Wettest month
October
550 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
14,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Belmont and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Belmont hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Belmont 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
19° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Rain
17° 8°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
15° 6°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16° 6°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 7°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 9°
±4°
Fri
Showers
17° 11°
±5°
Sat
Light rain
20° 11°
models agree
Sun
Cloudy
14° 8°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
17° 7°
±2°
Tue
Light rain
21° 9°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 9°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
24° 11°
±9°

Belmont, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 5°C), with roughly 550 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Belmont right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Belmont climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
24°
15°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
19°
10°
May
16°
9°
Jun
14°
7°
Jul
13°
6°
Aug
14°
5°
Sep
16°
6°
Oct
18°
8°
Nov
21°
11°
Dec
23°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Belmont has changed since 1995

Belmont sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Geelong. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Geelong page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Belmont?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C97±1.7 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
85
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±2.1 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
84
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C94±3.1 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°18° to 21°±10%88% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±3°15° to 18°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±2°14° to 16°±25%10% to 35% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±48%5% to 53% chance
Wed±3°16° to 20°±18%0% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Belmont

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:49
Daylight
13h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Belmont today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Belmont's high today between 18° and 21°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Belmont today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Belmont on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (European 100%, American 100%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 98%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Belmont?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Belmont (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the German at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Belmont?
February is typically the warmest month in Belmont, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Belmont get?
The coldest month in Belmont is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Belmont get?
Belmont sees roughly 550 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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