Skip to main content
Every Australian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AUGeelong West
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Geelong West weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Geelong West today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 14°, with a 32% chance of rain.

16°10°
14°
15°
13°
15°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 39%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 10°·Rain 10%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Geelong West and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
19° 11°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
22° 10°
±13°

Geelong West, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 545 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Geelong West right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Geelong West climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
15°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
19°
10°
May
16°
Jun
14°
Jul
14°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
22°
12°
Dec
24°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Geelong West?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.7 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±2.1 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C96±2.1 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°±39%0% to 39% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±19%13% to 32% chance
Tue±2°14° to 16°±5%1% to 6% chance
Wed±1°13° to 13°±45%10% to 55% chance
Thu±1°15° to 16°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Geelong West

today, local time
Sunrise
06:37
Sunset
18:05
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Geelong West today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Geelong West today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Geelong West today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Geelong West and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Geelong West?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Geelong West (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Geelong West?
February is typically the warmest month in Geelong West, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Geelong West get?
The coldest month in Geelong West is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Geelong West get?
Geelong West sees roughly 545 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather