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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Leopold weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Leopold today. Tomorrow: rain, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

18°15°
16°8°
14°7°
15°7°
18°7°
18°10°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Light drizzle
Feels 15° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 17° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Overcast
Feels 18° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 98%

Latest for Leopold: European (ECMWF): 15° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Heavy drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 17° Overcast.

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Leopold weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Leopold swings 19°C across the year, from 24°C highs in January to 5°C lows in August, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 572 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
24°C average high
Coldest month
August
5°C average low
Wettest month
October
572 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Leopold and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Leopold hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Leopold 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
18° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
16° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
14° 7°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15° 7°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 7°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
18° 10°
±4°
Fri
Light rain
17° 12°
±5°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
14° 10°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
16° 9°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
21° 10°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
18° 11°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
23° 12°
±11°

Leopold, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 5°C), with roughly 572 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Leopold right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Leopold climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
24°
15°
Feb
24°
14°
Mar
23°
14°
Apr
18°
11°
May
16°
9°
Jun
14°
8°
Jul
12°
6°
Aug
14°
5°
Sep
16°
6°
Oct
18°
8°
Nov
21°
11°
Dec
22°
12°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Leopold has changed since 1995

Leopold sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Geelong. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Geelong page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Leopold?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C93±3.3 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C91±4.5 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C95±2.6 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°±6%91% to 97% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 18°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±49%11% to 60% chance
Tue±2°14° to 16°±66%10% to 76% chance
Wed±3°16° to 19°±47%0% to 47% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Leopold

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Leopold today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Leopold today. Tomorrow: rain, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Leopold today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Leopold on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (European 100%, American 100%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 97%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Leopold?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Leopold (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Leopold?
January is typically the warmest month in Leopold, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Leopold get?
The coldest month in Leopold is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Leopold get?
Leopold sees roughly 572 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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