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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUGisborne
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Gisborne weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Gisborne's high today between 14° and 17°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 11°, with a 61% chance of rain.

16°
11°
15°
10°
12°
16°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Cloudy
Today 14°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Gisborne and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
±2°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
10°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
±5°
Sat
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±7°

Gisborne is a small town of about 8,725 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.5°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Gisborne with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Sunbury, Woodend, Kurunjang.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Gisborne?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C95±2.4 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
83
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C97±1.4 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C96±2.0 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 17°±6%0% to 6% chance
Tomorrow±1°10° to 12°±53%8% to 61% chance
Tue±3°13° to 16°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°9° to 10°±24%23% to 47% chance
Thu±1°12° to 13°±10%0% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gisborne

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gisborne today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Gisborne today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Gisborne today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Gisborne and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gisborne?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Gisborne (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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