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CheckWeather AUSunbury
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Sunbury weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Sunbury today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 12°, with a 47% chance of rain.

16°
12°
15°
11°
13°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 8%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Sunbury and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
16°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
19°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
19° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±5°

Sunbury, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 714 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Sunbury right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Sunbury climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
24°
13°
Feb
25°
13°
Mar
23°
12°
Apr
18°
May
15°
Jun
12°
Jul
12°
Aug
15°
Sep
17°
Oct
18°
Nov
22°
11°
Dec
24°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Sunbury?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.7 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.5 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C95±2.6 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 17°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±2°11° to 13°±39%8% to 47% chance
Tue±3°14° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°10° to 12°±37%8% to 45% chance
Thu±1°13° to 14°±14%0% to 14% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sunbury

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sunbury today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Sunbury today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sunbury today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Sunbury and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sunbury?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sunbury (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sunbury?
February is typically the warmest month in Sunbury, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Sunbury get?
The coldest month in Sunbury is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Sunbury get?
Sunbury sees roughly 714 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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