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CheckWeather AU›Sunbury
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Sunbury weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 21° in Sunbury today. Tomorrow: showers, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.

21°15°
17°7°
14°5°
15°5°
17°6°
20°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Light rain
Feels 17° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Drizzle
Feels 17° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 95%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Light showers
Feels 19° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 93%

Latest for Sunbury: European (ECMWF): 17° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 18° Light showers.

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Sunbury weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sunbury swings 20°C across the year, from 25°C highs in February to 5°C lows in July, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 609 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
25°C average high
Coldest month
July
5°C average low
Wettest month
November
609 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
39,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Sunbury and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sunbury hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sunbury 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
21° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
17° 7°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
14° 5°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15° 5°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
17° 6°
±2°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 8°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
16° 11°
±9°
Sat
Rain
19° 10°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
17° 6°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
20° 9°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
18° 10°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
19° 8°
±10°
Fri
Cloudy
24° 10°
±5°

Sunbury, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 609 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Sunbury right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Sunbury climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
24°
13°
Feb
25°
13°
Mar
22°
11°
Apr
18°
9°
May
15°
7°
Jun
12°
6°
Jul
11°
5°
Aug
13°
5°
Sep
15°
5°
Oct
17°
7°
Nov
20°
9°
Dec
23°
11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Sunbury has changed since 1995

Sunbury sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Craigieburn. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Craigieburn page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sunbury?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.3 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
89
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C97±1.7 km/h8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C93±3.3 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°20° to 21°±19%65% to 84% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 18°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±2°13° to 15°±15%8% to 23% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±51%5% to 56% chance
Wed±2°16° to 18°±7%3% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sunbury

today, local time
Sunrise
06:24
Sunset
19:46
Daylight
13h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sunbury today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 21° in Sunbury today. Tomorrow: showers, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Sunbury today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Sunbury on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (European 100%, American 100%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 84%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sunbury?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sunbury (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sunbury?
February is typically the warmest month in Sunbury, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Sunbury get?
The coldest month in Sunbury is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Sunbury get?
Sunbury sees roughly 609 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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