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CheckWeather AUCraigieburn
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Craigieburn weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Craigieburn today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 49% chance of rain.

16°
13°
15°
11°
13°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 25%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 13%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Craigieburn and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Fri
Fog
16°
±4°
Sat
Mostly clear
19°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±4°

Craigieburn, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 716 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Craigieburn right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Craigieburn climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
14°
Feb
25°
13°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
18°
May
15°
Jun
12°
Jul
12°
Aug
15°
Sep
17°
Oct
18°
Nov
22°
11°
Dec
25°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Craigieburn?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C97±1.5 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C96±2.2 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C95±2.4 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 17°±22%3% to 25% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 14°±39%10% to 49% chance
Tue±3°14° to 17°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±1°11° to 12°±19%35% to 54% chance
Thu±1°13° to 14°±31%0% to 31% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Craigieburn

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Craigieburn today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Craigieburn today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Craigieburn today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Craigieburn and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Craigieburn?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Craigieburn (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Craigieburn?
January is typically the warmest month in Craigieburn, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Craigieburn get?
The coldest month in Craigieburn is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Craigieburn get?
Craigieburn sees roughly 716 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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