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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUMelton West
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Melton West weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Melton West today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 39% chance of rain.

17°
13°
15°
12°
14°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 5%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Melton West and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19° 11°
±7°

Melton West is a small town of about 8,784 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.7°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Melton West with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Melton, Kurunjang, Brookfield.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Melton West?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C95±2.7 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
88
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C96±2.2 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C96±2.2 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±26%13% to 39% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°12° to 12°±31%8% to 39% chance
Thumodels agree14° to 14°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Melton West

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Melton West today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Melton West today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Melton West today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Melton West and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Melton West?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Melton West (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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