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CheckWeather AUBacchus Marsh
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Bacchus Marsh weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Bacchus Marsh's high today between 16° and 19°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 39% chance of rain.

17°
13°
16°
12°
15°
17°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±2°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Mainly clear
Feels 8° · Wind 23 km/h · Humidity 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 9° · Wind 25 km/h · Humidity 63%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Partly cloudy
Feels 10° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 67%

Latest for Bacchus Marsh: European (ECMWF): 12° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 13° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bacchus Marsh and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
±2°
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 11°
±9°

Bacchus Marsh, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 663 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Bacchus Marsh right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Bacchus Marsh climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
14°
Feb
26°
14°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
18°
10°
May
16°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
23°
12°
Dec
25°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bacchus Marsh?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C95±2.3 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
85
/100rank #2
95±0.3°C96±1.9 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #3
91±0.5°C96±2.2 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°16° to 19°±5%0% to 5% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±26%13% to 39% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±31%8% to 39% chance
Thu±1°14° to 15°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bacchus Marsh

today, local time
Sunrise
06:36
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bacchus Marsh today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Bacchus Marsh today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bacchus Marsh today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Bacchus Marsh and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bacchus Marsh?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Bacchus Marsh (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bacchus Marsh?
February is typically the warmest month in Bacchus Marsh, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Bacchus Marsh get?
The coldest month in Bacchus Marsh is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Bacchus Marsh get?
Bacchus Marsh sees roughly 663 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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