Skip to main content
Every Australian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AUAintree
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Aintree weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Aintree today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 13°, with a 35% chance of rain.

17°
13°
16°
12°
14°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 10°·Rain 10%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low ·Rain 6%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Aintree and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
21°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
20° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
±7°

Aintree, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 616 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Aintree right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Aintree climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
14°
Feb
26°
14°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
19°
10°
May
16°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
23°
12°
Dec
25°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Aintree?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C95±2.4 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C97±1.6 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C93±3.3 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±22%13% to 35% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±26%24% to 50% chance
Thu±1°14° to 15°±3%3% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Aintree

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
18:03
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Aintree today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Aintree today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Aintree today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Aintree and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Aintree?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Aintree (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Aintree?
February is typically the warmest month in Aintree, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Aintree get?
The coldest month in Aintree is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Aintree get?
Aintree sees roughly 616 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather